Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.224981 0.259099 0.295799 0.338110 0.385438 0.436641 0.496117
2026-02-08 0.167972 0.213469 0.266445 0.332251 0.411332 0.502815 0.616128
2026-02-15 0.127516 0.178051 0.241447 0.325770 0.433805 0.566311 0.739686
2026-02-22 0.102598 0.156422 0.228736 0.331013 0.469633 0.648416 0.893427
2026-03-01 0.080979 0.134574 0.211513 0.326832 0.491480 0.713758 1.031249
2026-03-08 0.065681 0.118476 0.199121 0.326609 0.517368 0.785529 1.182656
2026-03-15 0.052735 0.103171 0.185030 0.321211 0.534167 0.844971 1.320724
2026-03-22 0.046078 0.096800 0.183556 0.334276 0.578829 0.946961 1.525881
2026-03-29 0.040516 0.091142 0.182153 0.346800 0.623181 1.051110 1.740639
2026-04-05 0.034430 0.083154 0.175334 0.349052 0.650702 1.130897 1.923246
2026-04-12 0.029019 0.075283 0.167363 0.347970 0.672004 1.201684 2.095569
2026-04-19 0.024457 0.068140 0.159535 0.345889 0.690861 1.269111 2.265816
2026-04-26 0.020581 0.061720 0.152278 0.344245 0.710788 1.340509 2.448480
2026-05-03 0.017281 0.055843 0.145158 0.341890 0.729042 1.410158 2.632383
2026-05-10 0.014377 0.050181 0.137507 0.337385 0.742652 1.472428 2.807292
2026-05-17 0.012644 0.047226 0.135440 0.344091 0.777969 1.574672 3.055395
2026-05-24 0.010600 0.042756 0.129006 0.340548 0.792745 1.640843 3.244405
2026-05-31 0.009064 0.039361 0.124579 0.340782 0.814875 1.721433 3.462539
2026-06-07 0.007535 0.035462 0.118117 0.335463 0.824941 1.779936 3.643905
2026-06-14 0.006935 0.034629 0.119688 0.349188 0.875949 1.918410 3.976324
2026-06-21 0.006367 0.033741 0.120957 0.362287 0.926527 2.058622 4.318041
2026-06-28 0.005540 0.031537 0.118060 0.364688 0.953890 2.155096 4.582914
2026-07-05 0.004736 0.029101 0.114004 0.363604 0.973305 2.236785 4.823526